Posts Tagged ‘sardar biglari’

Biglari Holdings Takeover of Fremont Michigan is Dead in the Water

Tuesday, May 18th, 2010

http://www.mlive.com/business/west-michigan/index.ssf/2010/05/fremont_insurance_moves_toward.html

FREMONT — Publicly traded Fremont Insurance Co. is taking steps to buy Northern Mutual Insurance Co., based in the Upper Peninsula town of Hancock.

The two companies, both established in the late 1800s, announced a “letter of intent” this week, the first step toward that purchase. Because Northern Mutual is owned by the policy holders, it must first “demutualize” and convert to a stock insurer, after which Fremont would purchase all of Northern’s stock.

“It’s in the very preliminary stages right now,” said Jeff Tryka, a spokesman for Fremont. “Eventually it would mean that Northern would be part of Fremont.”

Fremont, whose holding company is Fremont Michigan InsuraCorp Inc., provides property and casualty insurance to individuals, small businesses and farms only in Michigan. At the end of last year, it had $55.6 million in net written premiums and $89.4 million in total assets, according to the announcement.

Northern provides property and casualty insurance to individuals only in Michigan. Last year, it had net written premiums of $8.9 million and total assets of $23.7 million.

Under the plan, Northern would remain a separate entity, maintaining its name, current operations and employees, Tryka said.

“They are a very strong company in Michigan,” he said.

The deal is contingent on the state Office of Financial and Insurance Regulation approving Northern’s stock conversion plan and Fremont’s stock acquisition. A conversion plan has yet to be filed with the office, according to a statement.

Gerard Quello, manager of Northern Mutual, declined to comment on the announcement. Tryka stressed the deal is a “friendly” and agreed upon by both companies.

“Unlike some recent transactions, this is a completely friendly deal,” Tryka said. “We think its in the best interest of both companies, our policy holders, our agents and the communities.”

Tryka was referring to a recent hostile takeover attempt by parent of Steak ‘N Shake restaurants, Biglari Holdings Inc. That effort led company leaders to push for a new state law that prevents a takeover unless two-third of shareholders approve. It was signed by the governor last month.

What struck me about the proposed merger, was that this move was likely to have been driven by the board to further squash the Biglari Holdings takeover attempt. For one, the enlarged Fremont Michigan/Northern Mutual entity would be significantly more difficult for Biglari Holdings to consume. Secondly, while Northern Mutual is smaller than Fremont, it may not be sufficiently small enough that Fremont Michigan could acquire it easily from cash on hand. If a cash purchase is off the table, then the acquisition is most likely to be funded with the issuance of stock. The added benefit of such a purchase would further solidify the Michigan shareholder base, a base that is likely to be more pro-current management, than pro-Biglari Holdings. With the new state law that prevents Fremont Michigan from being taken over with less that a two-third majority; any remote possibility of Biglari pulling in enough votes for a takeover has surely disappeared.

On the merger itself, it’s not easy for Fremont Michigan stockholders to assess whether the deal is likely to be in their best interests, or not. As the two companies are relatively small, there is bound to be cost savings from the removal of duplicate fixed expenditures (accounting, legal, listing and corporate costs, etc.). Also, while it’s not guaranteed, you would expect that a company that’s been around since the 1800′s won’t be going out of business anytime soon. Some of that concern can be taken off the table, as Northern Mutual has been assigned an A- rating (the same as Fremont Michigan, who have a very solid balance sheet) from A.M. Best. Investors will only truly be able to assess the situation when Northern Mutual eventually de-mutualize and open up their balance sheet to public eyes.

Precision Auto Care – A Sardar Biglari Stock

Tuesday, May 11th, 2010

In my last update, I generated a list of the cheapest publicly quoted companies in the United States. I noticed that one of the companies that popped up on my list was a Sardar Biglari pick from his days at Western Sizzlin’. Given the reputation of Biglari, Precision Auto Care is worthy of further study.

Precision Auto Care is a network of franchised and company-owned auto repair and tuning shops. The company has over 380 service facilities in 8 different countries including China and the Middle East. Recently, Precision Auto Care recently “went dark” and stopped filing with the SEC in order to reduce the costs in complying with Sarbanes-Oxley. With the majority of stock held by company management, the lack of free floating stock and virtually no analyst coverage, Precision Auto Care has almost entirely disappeared off the investment radar.

Financial information for Precision Auto Care.

Precision Auto Care financials

Historical share price of Precision Auto Care.

Precision Auto Care

As you can clearly see, the market has rewarded the improving balance sheet, revenue and earnings of Precision Auto Care by cutting the company’s share price by over 80%. The price now suggests that the company not only is there no chance of growth, but also that there probably isn’t a future for Precision. Given the recession, large cash position, reasonable business prospects and solid revenue; it does seem that there is a degree of overreaction in the share price movement.

Selected financial data.

  • Market cap: $4,930,000
  • Current price: $0.17
  • Cash: $3,825,000
  • Long-term debt: $0
  • Book value: $9,800,000
  • Price to book value: 0.5
  • Trailing P/E: 27

It’s easy to see from financial statements why Biglari was drawn to Precision Auto Care. Like Western’ Sizzlin’, ITEX and Stake n’ Shake; the company is run as a franchise, working in an growth area, dealing with a service that’s easy to understand and is unlikely to go away. However, like Stake n’ Shake, there are areas of the business that are a cause for concern. Firstly, with the onset of the recession, management have begun to purchase franchised operations, running them as company-owned stores. With 11 stores now being run by the company, it’s clear even at this stage that the return on investment is not high (you can also see that gross margins are being reduced by this strategy), and may even be negative (from 2008 to present, the company appears to have made a slight loss on company-owned stores. While company-owned stores are likely to become profit generating as the economy continues to improve, it’s seems unlikely that shareholders will see a decent return of their investment anytime soon. Despite this negative, Precision Auto Care is priced at such a discount to intrinsic value, it’s worth a place in any value investors portfolio.

Catalysts for a higher share price.

  • Earnings/balance sheet to continue improvement as recession ends (likely).
  • Emerging markets to perform (likely).
  • Share buy-back/dividend (possible).
  • Management to stop purchasing franchised locations and focus on growing the franchise (first part may be unlikely).

I believe the Precision Auto Care offers deep value with the possibility of significant upside due to global diversification, business model and/or improving business conditions.