Archive for February, 2010

Defense Industries – Deep Discount to Intrinsic Value

Tuesday, February 9th, 2010

In our last post, we took a look at companies that were trading at a market cap below cash on the balance sheet. Usually, stocks that fit this criteria face serious issues and many will go to zero, resulting in permanent capital loss for investors. Surprisingly however, we saw many stocks with strong balance sheets, that are finally turning the corner after what can only be described as annus horribilis of 2009.

One such stock that we spotted was Defense Industries, which is trading at 1/3rd book value with a net cash position of nearly $1.2 million. What’s even more interesting, is that not only are you buying an actual dollar for 75 cents, but you’re also getting a decent business thrown in for free. The business itself is involved in producing a wide range of products in both the military and civilian defence sector.

Here’s my spreadsheet with historical financial data. Please note that the $4.5 million of income in Q1 of 2008 was extraordinary and a one-off.

defense industries financials

Selected financial data

  • Market value per share: $0.15
  • Cash per share: $0.22
  • Earnings per share for Q4: -$0.005
  • Price to book value: 0.30
  • Debt to book value: 11%

What’s most remarkable about DFNS is the stock performance, relative to the above financials over the past 6 years. As you can see from the Google Finance chart, the stock price has consistantly fallen, despite debt being reduced, book value increasing and a number of years of excellent earnings.

Risks

  • Financial statements are unaudited (which is really par for the course with such small companies).
  • The defense and personal protection industry is highly cyclical.
  • The Israeli political environment is less stable than that of the United States, particularly with defence.
  • Dividends are subject to double taxation (20% on the Israeli side, x% on your marginal rate for what ever country you reside in).
  • Management may allocate capital poorly, eroding shareholder equity.

I believe the Defense Industries International offers deep value with a high margin of safety.

71 Stocks Selling Below Cash

Tuesday, February 2nd, 2010

Filtering criteria.

  • Cash/price greater than 1.0
  • Market cap between $0.2 million and $10 billion
  • Financials excluded
  • Worthless bankruptcies excluded

 

Symbol Name Exchange Note
ACTS Actions Semiconductor NASDAQ Chinese
ATV Acorn Internation NYSE Chinese
CHCG China 3C Group OTC Chinese
GRO Agria Corp NYSE Chinese
LTON Linktone LTD NASDAQ Chinese
NCTY The9 Limited NASDAQ Chinese
NINE Ninetowns Internet Technology Group NASDAQ Chinese
QXM Qiao Xing Mobile Communication NASDAQ Chinese
XING Qiao Xing Universal Telephone NASDAQ Chinese
DFNS Defense Industries OTC Israeli
MNDO MIND C.T.I. NASDAQ Israeli
GRVY Gravity NASDAQ Korean
CNVR Convera corp NASDAQ Liquidation
FTAR Footstar Ltd OTC Liquidation
ADPT Adaptec NASDAQ Normal
ALTX Altex Industries OTC Normal
ARCW ARC Wireless Solutions NASDAQ Normal
AVRNQ Aventine Renewable Energy Holdings OTC Normal
CAPS Orthologic Corporation NASDAQ Normal
CLHI CLST Holdings OTC Normal
CLNW Call NOW Inc OTC Normal
CSLMF Condsolidated Mercantile OTC Normal
CSPI CSP Inc NASDAQ Normal
DITC Ditech Networks NASDAQ Normal
DXR Daxor Corp AMEX Normal
ELST Electronic System Technology OTC Normal
EMAK Emak Worldwide OTC Normal
ENTZ Entrx Corp OTC Normal
EZEN Ezenia! Inc. OTC Normal
HTH Hilltop Holdings NYSE Normal
IDSY I.D. Systems NASDAQ Normal
INPH Interphase NASDAQ Normal
INSM Insmed NASDAQ Normal
ISSM Integrated Surgical Systems OTC Normal
ITSI International Lottery & Totalizator OTC Normal
IVA ValueRich AMEX Normal
KNTH Kent International Holdings OTC Normal
LEDR Market Leader NASDAQ Normal
LOAN Manhattan Bridge Capital NASDAQ Normal
LOOK LookSmart NASDAQ Normal
MEAD Mead Instruments NASDAQ Normal
MGT MGT Capital Investments AMEX Normal
NVTP Novt Corp OTC Normal
OBAS Optibase Ltd NASDAQ Normal
OPMR Optimal Group NASDAQ Normal
OPST Opt-Sciences Corp OTC Normal
PGNT Paragon Technologies OTC Normal
PLCC Paulson Capital Corp NASDAQ Normal
PLUG Plug Power NASDAQ Normal
PRLS Peerless Systems NASDAQ Normal
SCMR Sycamore Networks NASDAQ Normal
SNKTY Senetek PLC OTC Normal
SODI Solitron Devices OTC Normal
SPOR Sport-Haley OTC Normal
SWWI Simon Worldwide OTC Normal
TEEE Golf Rounds.com OTC Normal
TREE Tree.com NASDAQ Normal
TRID Trident Semiconductor NASDAQ Normal
VXGN Vaxgen OTC Normal
ENWV Endwave Corporation NASDAQ Normal/Shell
ABCP AmBase Corporation OTC Shell Co.
BXLC Bexil Corp OTC Shell Co.
CLRS Clarus Corp OTC Shell Co.
COSN CoSine Communications OTC Shell Co.
IEP Icahn Enterprises NYSE Shell Co.
KDUS Cadus Corp OTC Shell Co.
UAHC United American Healthcare Corp NASDAQ Shell Co.
ADMT ADM Tronic Unlimited OTC Sub-Nano
LVFHF Las Vegas From Home Ent OTC Sub-Nano
MGOF MangoSoft OTC Sub-Nano

This list is provided for informational purposes and may not be entirely accurate.

International Baler – Deep Value With Upside Potential

Monday, February 1st, 2010

With the financial crisis of late 2008/early 2009, revenues for almost every single publicly quoted company were pummeled during the period. Now that some of that uncertainty has been removed from the market, we’re finally starting to see revenues returning to most of the affected businesses, with International Baler being no exception.

I updated my spreadsheet with their historical financial statements and extrapolated the 4th quarter results (IBAL don’t file a specific end-year for the 4th quarter). Please note that the “G. Ma” column refers to the gross margin percentage.

financials

What’s most evident (but not explicitly stated in the annual report) is that International Baler returned to modest profit in the 4th quarter. If we ignore the first three quarters, when the economy was exceptionally bad, the P/E ratio currently stands at a reasonable 12.2. What’s also promising is that 4th quarter revenues doubled quarter-on-quarter, which suggests that while International Baler might not be returning to 2008 revenues, the fundamentals of the business are likely to be sound, with a very definite possibility of improved earnings.

As is evident, the balance sheet is in excellent shape with the book value being nearly twice the current market capitalisation. Further downside protection is added by the fact that the company has no significant debt, and that cash makes up a significant part of that book value.

Selected financial data at a glance.

  • Market value per share: $0.50
  • Cash per share: $0.37
  • Earnings per share for Q4: $0.02
  • Price to book value: 0.58
  • Price to earnings for Q4: 12.2
  • Debt to book value: 0%

It’s also evident that there are a number of intangible factors that are very favourable towards the company.

  • The company owns a 62,000 square foot manufacturing facility on 8 acres in Jacksonville, Texas. The company is carrying the value of this facility and all contents at $871,000. The company may be over-deprecating this asset.
  • Leland and LaRita Boren currently hold 51.1% of outstanding shares. The Boren family also own 100% of American Baler, a direct competitor to International Baler. They have been building their position in International Baler in the last few years and it may be likely that they will continue to build this position, eventually buying out International Baler, consolidating it with American Baler.
  • The macro environment for a company that bales a variety of waste material (paper, metal, plastic, rubber, textiles) is likely to be positive going forward as green issues remain in the public spotlight, with many city and county authorities making recycling and reuse of waste material a requirement.

I believe the International Baler offers Ben Graham value, with a very definite possibility of Phil Fisher growth.